NWS 47.9 Degrees C is 118.2 degrees F. Wow! Dating back to 1910, every year has had a least one daily rainfall record be broken. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 5.61" is just under 3" below normal and ranks as the 13th driest January to September on record. Local News Sports Politics Opinion For Subscribers . Areas south of the storm track (much of the Southeast) will see frequent storms bringing cold rains and a wintry mix . NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. One daily temperature record was set. Equal chances use the map provided below. If you are a current member and NOT on a monthly plan, your Winter 2022 tier expires March 1st, but do not renew until the Spring 2022 tier is opened, which youll receive an email then. By Paul Rusnak | September 11, 2022. Over the next 10 days high temperatures gradually warmed through the 60's into the 70's peaking on the 27th with a monthly high temperature of 79. The average yearly temperature of 60.6 is a half of a degree ABOVE normal and ranks as the 12th warmest on record, tied with 1996, through the end of April. By contrast, much of the southern third of the nation from the Southwest into the Southern Plains, Southeast and Florida is expected to have a warmer-than-average January. Editor's note: The above video aired during a previous year's forecast. The new year began on a wet note when a winter storm impacted the area as the calendar turned from 2021 to 2022. This ranks as the 5th warmest monsoon on record, tied with 2011. In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be up below normal and a 33% chance that they will end up above normal. How do you feel about the upcoming milder, drier (especially drier than this last monsoon season, hoo boy) winter we might have? February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. A record warm low temperature was set on the 22nd with a low of 66 breaking the record of 64 from 2016. This is the first time since March 1973 that every daily high temperature of a month was cooler than what occurred one year earlier. Temperatures: Below Average, Arizona Best for planning. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 104 on the 6th and 30th to a low of 70 on the 23rd. An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. Colder air and blocking weather pattern often develop when the polar vortex is weak. Click on the images below for larger view. A record cool high temperature was set on the 24th with a high of 67 breaking the record of 68 from 1936 & 1978. Two daily record temperatures were set during the month. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. Click on hotel for more details. The Farmers' Almanac is out with their Extended Winter Outlook for 2021-2022 and is calling for a "Frosty Flip-Flop Winter". The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. After a week of travel, a bout with a head cold, and a new A-fib diagnosis, hiked some beautiful country with the Britts. Click Here To Join The Season Tier, Join The Main Arizona Weather Force Facebook Group (50 percent delivery time) You can join the main AZWF page as well through that group. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is almost two degrees below normal and ranks as the 59th warmest February on record. Some of our favorite winter destinations in Arizona include the adorable little town of Flagstaff, the amazing Mount Lemmon in southern Arizona (the drive up alone is incredible), and mountain towns like Payson and Prescott. Rainfall amounts across the metro during the first three months of the hydrologic water year has ranged from 1.10" to 3.50". According to The Farmer's Almanac, Arizona's 2021-2022 winter season will bring along a "polar coaster" with temperature swings lasting well into March of 2022. Elizabeth Hoy, a senior scientist at NASA,. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 Every one of them ended up being cooler than a year ago. It is certainly a possibility with the threat of another La Nia on the horizon. Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. the . Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 36 F. This is the least amount in a year since there was ten in 2008. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. Weather forecasts that start where the others stop. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! Free Long Range Weather Forecast for Flagstaff, Arizona. All NOAA. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. During 2020,2021 and the first half of 2022 . Weather wise, is January a good time to visit Arizona? Dry conditions prevailed from the 11th to the 14th before an upper level low moved across the area bringing scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and small hail on the 15th & 16th. The last day of 2022 was dry with afternoon temperatures in the upper 60's to lower 70's. The free 12News+ app from 12News lets users stream live events including daily newscasts like "Today in AZ" and "12 News" and our daily lifestyle program, "Arizona Midday"on Roku and Amazon Fire TV. In the U.S., La Nia typically means a colder than average winter in northern and western parts of the country, and a warmer South and East. If you click here, this is exactly what my model showed, which is telling me further that we remain on track to keep getting the long range right. June climate data across southeast Arizona, Summer climate data across southeast Arizona. "Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods," NOAA said. For the first time since 2010, September recorded more triple digit high temperatures (8) than August did (7). No blocking means that we will continue to get the colder air out of the west in both regions of Southern California and Arizona, but it also means much drier conditions. While it's true that large volcanic eruptions have historically had a temporary cooling effect on earth's climate, that's not the case for the Tongan eruption. Get Downloadable Images and More Here. You can expect sleet, snow, and rain throughout the season. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. Precipitation: Below Average Temperature extremes ranged from 111 on June 16th to 65 on September 17th. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. WeatherTAB Flagstaff, Arizona Help C F. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in January 2024. The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 is based on . Long-Range Weather Forecast 2023 for Places in Arizona Ajo, AZ Apache Junction, AZ Arizona City, AZ Avondale, AZ Avra Valley, AZ Benson, AZ Big Park, AZ Bisbee, AZ Buckeye, AZ Bullhead City, AZ Camp Verde, AZ Casa Grande, AZ Casas Adobes, AZ Catalina, AZ Catalina Foothills, AZ Cave Creek, Maricopa County, AZ Chandler, AZ Chinle, AZ Chino Valley, AZ It's the 13th April with ZERO rainfall. Nov. 17, 2022 Finally. In a couple of words: its nice! Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a half an inch (0.50") with a localized spots, especially in the foothills, recording up to nine-tenths of an inch (0.90"). To troubleshoot, here is the link to get situated. The airport two-day total of 0.74" ranks as the 3rd wettest New Year's Eve/Day on record. Multiple locations were found. The stream has the latest alert links, a map of alerts and where, and articles. Alaska through Central and Northern Canada to Greenland. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. Here was the tweet the office issued. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area which is always the case during the summer thunderstorm season. For the first Summer since 2010 & the sixth time since 1980, there were no record highs set or tied at the airport. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. NWS Tucson Arizona. "We continue the remarkable drive toward a third consecutive La Nia winter, a relatively rare occurrence in our recorded history, with the last three-peat occurring from 1998-2000," said Dr. Todd Crawford, Vice President of Meteorology at Atmospheric G2. One of the strongest thunderstorms of the month hit the airport on the evening of the 23rd with a wind gust of 76 mph. National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona 520 North Park Ave, Suite 304 Tucson, AZ 85719 (520) 670-6526 Comments? SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". Crawford's expectation for a stronger polar vortex this coming winter implies colder air will overall be bottled up in more northern latitudes. Keep in mind this outlook is an overall three-month trend. The MAIN PAGE of this website has every alert/article issued at current. Winter, 2022. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. There were 23 days in which the daily low temperature was in the 80s. Officially, 7.41" of rain was recorded at the International airport which ranks, in the 128 year climatic record period (1895-2022) for Tucson, as the 13th driest year on record. Nine Ways To Tell The Difference. A high minimum temperature of 59 on the 4th broke the old warm low for the date of 56 from 1946. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. Check out the full 2022-23 Extended Winter Weather Forecast from The Farmer's Almanac below. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. But if it weakens, that could spell a colder winter for some. For us across the Southwest, La Nia typically brings drier-than-normal conditions during the winter. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. La Nia - the periodic cooling of the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters - is in play as one of the primary drivers for the winter outlook once again this year. Backed by the 5th warmest June and 7th warmest July and the warmest Summer average low temperature on record (tied with 2020), Summer 2022 goes into the record books asthe 3rd warmest Summer on record, tied with the Summers of 2013, 2015 & 2019.